Who should challenge Trump?

By Aristophanes


Much has been said of the great democratic failure of the 2016 presidential election. A belligerent Twitter-fueled personality claimed the highest office in the land by losing the popular vote, but winning a majority in the Electoral College.

For good or bad, that’s how our system works. If Democrats are to reclaim the White House in 2020, they’ll have to win by the same rules.

But who should carry that critical mantle? The choices can be divided into four major categories: the Bernies, the Obamas, the Hillarys and the Bidens.

Below, I’ll briefly explain each grouping, ranking them on their respective odds of winning the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in 2020 and, if nominated, their odds of winning the general election. (1 being most likely to win, 4 being least likely)

01

1. The Bernies

Examples: Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.)

Attributes: Liberal on both fiscal and social issues, but primarily focuses on the former. Has government experience, but is not tied to the political establishment.

Odds of Winning Nomination: 1

Odds of Winning General Election: 3

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2. The Obamas

Examples: President Barack Obama, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.)

Attributes: Liberal, but with a mostly non-confrontational tone. Has government experience and is often tied to the political establishment, but not overly so.

Odds of Winning Nomination: 2

Odds of Winning General Election: 2

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3. The Hillarys

Examples: Secretary Hillary Clinton, Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.), Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.)

Attributes: Liberal on both fiscal and social issues, but primarily focuses on the latter. Has government experience and is tied to the political establishment, often overly so. Technocratic and cerebral in nature.

Odds of Winning Nomination: 4

Odds of Winning General Election: 4

04

4. The Bidens

Examples: Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), Gov. John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.)

Attributes: Politically moderate. Primarily focuses on fiscal issues. Has government experience and is sometimes tied to the political establishment. The “go along, get along” type.

Odds of Winning Nomination: 3

Odds of Winning General Election: 1 ■



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